Yeah, Sarah, I would be surprised if a prominent Democrat runs against Biden. I wouldn’t be shocked, though, if he declines to run for reelection.
If Trump were to suddenly wait to announce or were even to float the concept he won’t run that might complicate Biden’s decision-making process if he is considering not running once again. I guess I’m just skeptical that Biden would surrender without an apparent beneficiary apparent in spite of his age.
I’m not sure how much the information backs that up. They also picked Harris over Trump 45 percent to 44 percent.
And that’s before even entering the fact that 2024 is two years away and early general-election surveys are pretty useless. It mostly depends upon the pollster as to whether Biden leads or Trump leads, however on balance, Biden might lead a little generally. I do think, though, some Democrats think anybody other than Biden might be weaker versus Trump.
Most of the discontent appears to be coming within Biden’s own party, too. To be clear, 75 percent of Democrats stated they authorize of the task Biden is doing as president.
Where Biden goes from here back up or stagnant could be crucial to determining whether he runs once again. Not to mention that until really recently Biden also had the least expensive approval ranking of any president since completion of The second world war. It’s slowly inched back up, but he’s still undersea overall.
Is it fair to state that we’re all in agreement that there is not room for anyone else in the Democratic primary aside from Biden unless, of course, he does not run? OK, time to talk about the Republican side of things.
Of those, De, Santis is the only one who (presently) appears capable of defeating Trump must the previous president indeed run.
If you get a number of prospects splitting up the vote not going for Trump, it’s just going to make it easier for him to win.
You’re not challenging a sitting president, and there definitely seems to be at least some hesitancy over Trump and the idea that he has too much baggage and may not be able to win in a basic election once again. A New York City Times/Siena College survey from last month found, for instance, that almost half of Americans who planned to vote in the 2024 Republican politician primary would choose a prospect other than Trump in a primary race.
I’m thankful you raised that survey, since I believed that was an interesting method to frame the results, as one might likewise argue from that survey that Trump is still the indisputable leader. He was initially, with 49 percent support, and De, Santis was in second, at 25 percent.
There is certainly more room for a challenger to Trump than to Biden, but Trump would still be preferred. According to a recent Politico/Morning Consult survey, 56 percent of Republican politician and independent registered voters stated they would support Trump, while 18 percent said they would support De, Santis, 8 percent stated they would support Pence and a lot of other prospects all got 2 percent or less.
According to that You, Gov/Yahoo News poll I pointed out previously, Trump beats De, Santis 44 percent to 35 percent among registered voters in a direct matchup. Absolutely, however this point (from the Times reporting on the survey) was a fascinating comparison to me: “His share of the Republican main electorate is less than Hillary Clinton’s among Democrats was at the start of the 2016 race.” Naturally, Clinton ultimately won that race, however it wasn’t a warranty Sanders offered her a real run for her cash.
The Times might have also compared Trump to Gore’s position in 1999. That said, De, Santis is plainly a legitimate danger to Trump; a 9-point lead in the polls is not secure.
I understand we had a chat back in the day about whether Trump’s grip on the GOP is still strong. At the time, I said that Trump may be weaker than some want to admit, however after Tuesday night’s outcomes most significantly Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney’s primary loss paired with the fates of the nine other Republicans who voted to impeach the former president I actually think it’ll be really hard for another Republican to cut through his power.